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With the collapse of the Doha round, disappointment is turning to recrimination. But what did poor countries have to gain anyway? By Raj Patel. 31st July 08 - Raj Patel, The Guardian (UK) When the World Trade Organisation talks collapsed in Seattle in 1999, there were parties in the streets, and a wailing and renting of clothes in the corridors of power. The failure of the Doha round of WTO talks in Geneva this week has drawn a more muted reaction from both its boosters and critics. In Seattle, it was possible to tell a story in which the voices of people on the streets mattered, and in which the disenfranchised had scored a victory against an unaccountable front company for international capital. This week's failure had less to do with global justice, and much more to do with the growing pains of international capitalism. To the untrained eye, it's hard to tell that anything's different. Today's ducks of international capital still look, walk and quack the same as they did yesterday. The financial markets didn't seem to care, with major indexes untroubled by the bottom falling out of the talks. In part, this is because the contribution that the Doha round would have made to a global economy of $54 trillion, by the WTO's own generous figures, was $50bn. Yet some countries clearly lament the collapse. In a press conference yesterday, Burkina Faso's trade minister Mamadou Sanou said, that "We can hardly control our anger." And he's right to be annoyed at the rules of international trade. As a cotton-exporting country, his farmers are being wiped out by the multimillion dollar support that the US gives its cotton exporters, but which Burkina Faso is prohibited, under WTO rules, from doing anything about. "They wanted me to be here to negotiate on cotton. I have been here for 10 days and I haven't been able to discuss cotton," Sanou said. For its part, the US was particularly keen to blame India and China for failing to enter into the spirit of the negotiations. Beneath the sighed pronouncements of United States trade representative Susan Schwab, was a thinly veiled lament of "when will they learn?" To be clear, the historical spirit of the WTO has been for developing countries to shut up and do what they're told and, if they're very good or very big, they'll get a scrap or two from the EU and US's table. On that table was a tentative agreement between the main negotiating parties reached in the dark of Friday night. The EU and US had given some ground to demands that skilled workers from Asia be allowed entry to the EU and US markets, and more visas were promised, and it looked as if the deal might be sealed. Over the weekend, though, India squirmed. Winning visas for the IT industry would certainly keep a slice of the middle class happy. But the majority of Indians are poor, live in rural areas and depend on agriculture. While the country's politicians are often happy to genuflect before a rural Mother India and then bankroll her urban sons, with an election looming, they needed to do a little more. The Indian government has already this year promised to cancel a slice of farmers' debt in a spectacular and utterly cosmetic pre-election stunt. But this isn't enough. And a sell-out at the WTO wouldn't play well in the fields at home. So the Indian delegation insisted that there be some protections for their farmers from the surge in imports that inevitably follow tariff cuts. It's a serious concern: in Ghana in 1998, for example, local rice production accounted for over 80% of domestic consumption. By 2003, after liberalisation, that figure was less than 20%. What India wanted was the right to protect farmers if this happened. The US and EU proposed a threshold for support that was too high to be meaningful. India, backed by a range of other countries, held its ground. So the talks collapsed. Now, to be clear, this doesn't flag an end to US and EU hegemony. It merely confirms the arrival of more big players into the international trade arena, and the re-configuration of that hegemony. India, China and Brazil can no longer be taken for granted, and the EU and US will need to learn to negotiate accordingly. But it would be foolish to think that, as poorer cousins, the ascending developing countries might become a voice for the disenfranchised. When China joined the WTO back in 2001, fingers were crossed and double-crossed in the "global south" with the hope that China might fight the good fight for all poor countries. That hasn't happened. And it's no surprise. The most successful beggars around the international trade club have now graduated. Oliver has become Fagin. The Indian, Chinese and Brazilian negotiators at the WTO, like those of the EU and US, represent the interests not of the majority, but of a certain bloc of capitalists. After the elections pass, business will return to normal. After all, none of the main parties have walked away from the WTO altogether. The institution remains a useful instrument in service of the interests they represent. No one has given up on multilateralism either. With a wave of elections this year and next, the WTO isn't the only international negotiating venue where diplomacy has turned into thumb-twiddling while everyone waits for Bush to leave. Trade talks are diplomacy's most rugged zombies, able to rise despite a thousand deaths. We can expect to be reading about the tentative resumption of the WTO talks next year. In the meantime, of course, farmers in developing countries will still be exposed to the inequities of the current world trade system. Those inequities haven't worsened, but the failure of the talks is a small whoop. When the poor are so comprehensively pinioned by international economics, it's a slim victory that the screw hasn't turned further.
Collapse of WTO Doha Negotiations: A Blow to the U.S. - EU Hegemony 29th July 08 - Anuradha Mittal, Oakland Institute The collapse of the Doha Round of global trade talks in Geneva today marks a victory for small farmers and workers in developing countries whose governments stood up to the pressure and arm twisting tactics of the U.S. and the EU over the last week. While India and China are being singled out for the collapse of talks, they were not alone in standing firm. The Special Products (SP)/Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM) issues in agriculture which took center stage, were concerns of about 100 developing countries represented by various groups (G33, Africa, ACP, LDCs, SVEs). More important, the negotiations failed because the U.S. and the EU want to continue their domination of international trade of agricultural commodities. Their responsibility is evident in their extreme market access demands, combined with a lack of commitment to real development objectives in the so called "Development" round. The rich nations, along with the International Financial Institutions such as the WTO, World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund, presented the rapid conclusion of the Doha negotiations as a solution to the current food price crisis. However, it is widely recognized that opening of markets, removal of tariffs, and withdrawal of state intervention in agriculture, has turned developing countries from net food exporters to net food importers and burdened them with huge import bills. This process which leaves the poor dependent on uncertain and volatile global markets for their food supply, has wiped out millions of livelihoods and placed nearly half the humanity at the brink of hunger and starvation. The collapse of talks will surely be lamented upon as a missed opportunity for the developing world, as it has been in the past. The truth is that the so called "Development " Round marketed as a way out of hunger and poverty, would have further perpetuated an unfair and inequitable international trade system in the name of creating multilateral trade rules. The collapse, however, presents new opportunities for the way forward. It has resuscitated democracy where pressure from civil society organizations, social movements, trade unions, and farmers organizations could challenge and withstand "poorwashing" PR efforts, corporate interests, and even political pressure on heads of governments from President Bush and Prime Minister Brown. It has opened the door for developing countries to regain ownership of their food and agricultural policies which should meet the needs of their people and not the dictates of the IFIs. And finally, it shows that policy makers can prioritize human rights such as food, health, water, and education over trade agreements.
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