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Rather than continuing to pay off the very people who created this financial crisis, it's time to bite the bullet and start building an economic democracy featuring public banks and
mutual funded holding companies, says Gary Dorrien.
17th May 09 - Gary Dorrien
~ STWR
Today we are caught in a global economic crash and depression, a calamity
affecting every nation connected to the global economy, especially poor nations
lacking economic reserves. But this crisis also puts into play new possibilities
for a democratic surge, perhaps toward economic democracy.
From the perspective of Economics 101, every bubble mania is basically alike,
but from the beginning, this one has been harder to swallow, because it started
with people who were just trying to buy a house of their own, who usually had no
concept of predatory lending, and who had no say in the securitization
boondoggle that spliced up various components of risk to trade them separately.
It seemed a blessing to get a low-rate mortgage. It was a mystery how the banks
did it, but this was their business; we trusted they knew what they were doing.
Our banks resold the mortgages to aggregators who bunched them up with thousands
of other subprime mortgages, chopped the package into pieces and sold them as
corporate bonds to parties looking for extra yield. Our mortgage payments paid
for the interest on the bonds.
For twenty years securitizations and derivatives were great at concocting
extra yield and allowing the banks to hide their debt. Broadly speaking, a
derivative is any contract that derives its value from another underlying asset.
More narrowly and pertinently, it's an instrument that allows investors to
speculate on the future price of something without having to buy it.
The words
that are used for this business-securitization, insurance, diversifying
risk-sound reassuring, but they mask that the business is pure high-leveraged
speculation and gambling. Credit-default swaps are private contracts in a
completely unregulated market that allow investors to bet on whether a borrower
will default. Ten years ago that market was $150 billion; today it's $62
trillion, and it's at the heart of the meltdown. Credit default sellers are not
required to set aside reserves to pay off claims, and in 2000 Congress exempted
them from state gaming laws. AIG's derivatives unit was a huge casino, selling
phantom insurance with hardly any backing, for which we now have to pay. The
tally for the past six months: four bailouts, $160 billion, some very
hard-to-take bonus payments, and no bottom in sight for a sinkhole of toxic debt
exceeding $1 trillion.
Derivatives created dangerous incentives for false accounting and made it
extremely difficult to ascertain a firm's true exposure. They generated huge
amounts of leverage and were developed with virtually no consideration of their
broad economic consequences.
So many plugged-in players rode this financial lunacy for all it was worth,
caught in the terribly real pressure of the market to produce constant
short-term gains. Speculators gamed the system and regulators looked the other
way. Mortgage brokers sold bad mortgages; bond bundlers packaged the loans into
securities; rating agencies gave inflated bond ratings to the loans; corporate
executives put the bonds on their balance sheets; and all made fortunes off
toxic products they had no business creating or passing off.
The chief rating
agencies, Moody's and Standard & Poor's, were supposed to expose financial
risk. Instead, paid by the very issuers of the bonds they rated, they hung
triple-A ratings on rubbish. There was so much money to be made that firms
couldn't bear to leave it aside for competitors to grab. The banks got leveraged
up to 50-to-1 (that's where Bear Stearns was at the end) and kept piling on
debt. The mania for extra yield fed on itself, blowing away business ethics and
common sense.
Today we are staring into an economic abyss, a global deflationary spiral.
Deflation, once started, has a terrible tendency to feed on itself. Income falls
in a recession, which makes debt harder to bear, which discourages investment,
which depresses the economy further, which leads to more deflation. To have any
chance of breaking the deflationary spiral, the Obama administration has to
solve the bank problem and dispose of the toxic debt.
One option is Henry Paulson's original plan, "cash for trash," this time with
more public accountability. Another is to ramp up the insurance approach,
"ring-fencing" bad assets by providing federal guarantees against losses. But
these are more-of-the-same options that coddle the banks and don't solve the
valuation problem-that no one trusts anyone else's balance sheet. The banks are
holding at least $2 trillion of toxic debt. For the past six months, the banking
system has been paralyzed because the big private equity firms and hedge funds
are refusing to pay more than thirty cents on the dollar for the mortgage
bundles and the banks can't stay in business if they book such huge losses on
their holdings. In the meantime the banks are holding out for at least sixty
cents and pleading for more relief.
The Latest Bailout Fad: Creating Bad Banks
The third option, the "bad bank" model, creates transitional banks to soak up
bad debt. Here the risk of getting prices wrong is even greater, assuming that
assets are valued immediately. If the government overpays for toxic securities,
taxpayers are cheated; if it doesn't overpay and the banks take mark-to-market
prices, many are sure to fail. Some advocates of the bad bank strategy say the
government could stall on the price issue, waiting until values rise, but FDIC
chair Sheila Bair says no, banking is not alchemy: assets can't be floated into
the ether.
Bair and Timothy Geithner have settled on an aggregator bank model that
blends the original Paulson plan with some elements of the bad bank topped off
with an auction scheme to find private buyers for the toxic debt. Geithner wants
the government to create a $2 trillion public-private investment fund that
subsidizes up to 95 percent of deals partnered with hedge funds and private
equity firms to buy up the bad assets of the zombie banks. The private funds
will end up owning the assets; the FDIC will do most of the partnering work; and
the Treasury will hire four or five investment management firms.
Since this is apparently what we're going to do, I certainly hope it works.
But this plan is by far the most cumbersome and least transparent strategy of
all. It coddles the banks. It is based on the dubious hope of finding enough
private buyers for rotten goods. It assumes that private fund managers have been
wrong thus far about the real value of the mortgage bundles. It offers a
taxpayer guarantee to investors to ensure they won't lose money if they get in.
And it depends on convincing taxpayers to pony up another $2 trillion for that
purpose. Essentially, this is a scheme to pay fantastic bribes to private
investors to buy the bad assets for more than they're worth.
Here's A Better Idea: Let's Create Good Banks!
I am for biting the bullet now. It's obscene to keep paying off the very
people who created this disaster. It's better to take control of the situation
now than to dither for another nine or ten months while we lose 600,000 jobs per
month. At some point moral fairness and accountability have to enter this
picture. We should nationalize the zombie banks, transfer the bad assets to a
reincarnation of the 1980s Resolution Trust Corporation, and sell off the
sellable parts to new owners.
Nationalization is cleaner and more transparent than the alternatives. It
takes hold of the valuation problem by finding the bottom. It cuts off the
gusher of taxpayer gifts to managers and shareholders. It offers taxpayers a way
of getting some of their money back. It puts an end to mergers between zombie
banks, which create more zombie banks that are too big to fail.
Most importantly to me, an aggressive nationalization strategy would put into
play the possibility of something more creative and constructive: establishing
publicly funded venture capital banks. If we can seriously talk about creating
bad banks or aggregator banks, we ought to be able to talk about creating
publicly owned good banks to do good things. Public banks could finance
start-ups in green technology that are currently languishing and provide
financing for cooperatives spurned by traditional banks. The public banks could
be financed by an economic stimulus package, or by claiming the good assets of
banks seized by the government, or both.
We must push Obama for him to create anything like that, as he is surrounded
by centrist corporate establishment types eager to placate Wall Street and
averse to wiping out shareholders. We must also push him to stick to a social
investment strategy throughout his presidency, instead of backing off from it as
Franklin Roosevelt did.
A public bank that supports green technology and cooperatives would be a
major breakthrough for economic democracy in this country. Economic democracy is
about democratizing power and creating environmentally sustainable economies. In
its full-orbed version, it features mixed forms of worker, community, and mutual
fund or public bank enterprises. I am not suggesting that factors of production
trump everything else. Any social justice politics worthy of the name requires a
feminist, interracial, multicultural, ecological, and anti-imperial
consciousness that privileges liberationist and environmental issues.
But no serious challenge to existing relations of power can ignore the
factors of production. Economic justice is never dispensable. Those who control
the terms, amounts, and direction of credit play a huge role in determining the
kind of society that everybody else lives in. We're getting a dramatic
demonstration of that today. The question of who controls the process of
investment is enormously important. Gains toward social and economic democracy
are needed today for the same reason that political democracy is necessary: to
restrain the abuse of unequal power.
Pros and Cons of Economic Democracy
Economic democracy, like political democracy, is messy and time-consuming.
Democratically controlled capital is less mobile than corporate capital, and the
return to democratically controlled capital tends to be lower than in
corporations, because worker-controlled enterprises are more committed to
keeping low-return firms in operation. Producer cooperatives are often too slow,
small, and humane to compete with corporations, and they require cooperative
habits and values that cut against the grain of American individualism. In the
United States, any strategy to break down concentrated economic power by
expanding the cooperative sector confronts difficult trade-offs, political
opposition, and cultural barriers.
But economic democracy also has pragmatic considerations in its favor.
Economic losses caused by worker participation can be offset by gains in
productivity made possible by it. People often work harder and more efficiently
when they have a stake in the company. Worker ownership is a key option for
communities threatened by runaway plants and deindustrialization. Experiments
with various kinds of worker ownership increased dramatically in the 1990s,
aided by a growing network of policy experts, and some unions began to bargain
for worker ownership, worker control over pension funds, and worker management
rights. These developments have the potential to become the building blocks of a
serious movement for economic democracy.
Today there are approximately 12,000 worker-owned firms in the United States,
including large enterprises such as Republic Engineered Steels, Publix
Supermarkets, and Northwestern Steel and Wire. Most employee ownership plans
offer shares without voting rights; most assure that employees will be kept in a
minority ownership position; few provide educational opportunities to help
worker/owners develop management skills; and virtually none offer programs to
build solidarity or help worker/owners forge links with other cooperative
enterprises or raise awareness of economic democracy issues. Worker ownership
without democratic control is a nominal version of economic democracy, thwarting
the real thing, and American unions have a generally dismal record in this area,
reinforcing the shortcomings.
With all its limitations, however, worker ownership is a viable option, and a
necessary one. The Mondragon network in Spain is spectacularly successful; in
the United States, several thousand firms have converted to employee ownership,
thousands of others have been launched with worker-ownership plans, and
approximately 1,000 companies in the United States are fully
worker-controlled.
It Begins by Building the Cooperative Sector
Full-orbed economic democracy is obviously far off. On the way to something
like it, economic democracy is about building up institutions that do not belong
wholly to the capitalist market or the state. It begins by expanding the
cooperative sector. Producer cooperatives take labor out of the market by
removing corporate shares from the stock market and maintaining local worker
ownership. Community land trusts take land out of the market and place it under
local democratic controls to serve the social needs of communities. Community
finance corporations take democratic control over capital to finance cooperative
firms, make investments in areas of social need, and fight the redlining
policies of banks.
These strategies widen the base of social and economic power
by mixing together cooperative banks, employee stock ownership plans, producer
cooperatives, community land trusts, and planning agencies that guide
investments into locally defined areas of need such as housing, soft-energy
hardware, infrastructure maintenance, and mass transit.
But merely expanding the cooperative sector is not enough. Cooperatives
usually prohibit non-working shareholders, so they attract less outside
financing than capitalist firms. They are committed to keeping low-return firms
in operation, so they tend to stay in business even when they can't afford to
pay competitive wages. They are committed to particular communities, so they are
less mobile than corporate capital and labor. They smack of anti-capitalist
bias, so they have trouble getting financing and advice from capitalist banks.
They tend to maximize net income per worker rather than profits, so they tend to
favor capital-intensive investments over job creation. And because cooperative
owners often have their savings invested in a single enterprise, they tend to
avoid risky innovations.
These problems can be mitigated with productivity-enhancing tax incentives
and regulations. Cooperative economics and ecological sustainability are
naturally linked by the necessity of creating structural alternatives to the
capitalist fantasy of unlimited growth. The kind of economic development that
favors the needs of poor and disenfranchised communities and does not harm the
earth's environment requires a dramatically expanded cooperative sector
consisting of worker-owned firms rooted in communities, committed to survival,
and prepared to accept lower returns.
But worker ownership does not do enough for equality, especially in the
highest-yielding cooperatives, which nearly always have high entry fees. Rather
than allow members to sell out to the highest bidder and take their capital
gains, most cooperatives require members to sell out to the company. This policy
guards against reverting to traditional capitalist ownership, but in
cooperatives with high share prices, one has to be rather well off or very
determined to apply. One might address the equality problem by universalizing
cooperation, but that would ruin a mostly good thing. If everyone had to belong
to a cooperative, the entry fees would be waved and many enterprises would
fail.
Better Social Ownership Models
We need forms of social ownership that facilitate democratic capital
formation, have a greater capacity for scaling up, and are more entrepreneurial.
Specifically, we need forms of economic democracy featuring public banks and
mutual funded holding companies. This approach can take a variety of forms, but
the essential idea is to establish competing banks or holding companies in which
ownership of productive capital is vested. The companies lend capital to
enterprises at market rates of interest and otherwise control the process of
investment, including decision-making power to initiate new cooperatives and
shut down unprofitable firms. Equity shareholders, the state, and/or other
cooperatives own the holding companies or public banks.
Unfortunately there is a lot more theory on this subject than concrete
examples of it. The theorists include Peter Abell, Raymond Plant, Alec Nove,
Saul Estrin, David Miller, John Roemer, Robert Dahl, Joanne Barkan, Gar
Alperovitz, Radoslav Selucky, Otto Sik, Thomas Weisskopf, and David Winter. The
biggest experiment thus far was the Meidner Plan in Sweden, named after German
economist Rudolf Meidner, which was enacted in 1982 by the Social Democratic
government. It called for an annual 20 percent tax on major company profits to
be paid in the form of stock to eight regional mutual funds. Worker, consumer,
and government representatives controlled the funds, and as their proportion of
stock ownership grew, these groups were collectively entitled to representation
on company boards.
If fully carried out, this experiment would have rendered
effective control over profitable firms in Sweden to the worker and public
organizations. But the Social Democrats made little effort to educate the public
about it or win popular support for it. For eight years Sweden's corporate class
railed against it constantly. The Meidner Plan's term expired in 1990, and
especially after the Swedish banking crisis of 1992, the Social Democrats lost
their enthusiasm for it. That made political sense for them at the outset of
second-wave globalization. It may prove to be the death knell for large-scale
experiments in full-orbed economic democracy.
But less ambitious forms of economic democracy have succeeded in many places,
and the scale question rests on politics and culture more than economic
viability. Public bank theory takes seriously the failures of state socialism,
the limitations of worker ownership, and the necessity of building up highly
capitalized forms of economic democracy. The distinct advantage of this approach
is that it diversifies forms of risk sharing and promotes greater efficiency by
forcing firms to be financially accountable to a broad range of investors.
Essentially, it is a solution to the entrepreneurial deficiencies of worker
ownership, addressing conflicts of interest between cooperative owners and
profitability that cause cooperatives to miss market signals.
There Can Be No Socialist Blueprint or Magic Wand
This approach does not rest on idealistic notions about human nature and it
should not be the next progressive blueprint. Economic democracy is a brake on
human greed and domination; the whole point of it is to fight the universal
propensity of dominant groups to hoard social goods and abuse disenfranchised
people. Neither should progressives absolutize any particular model of economic
democracy, for the blueprint mentality is inherently problematic. Socialists
were wrong to equate socialization with nationalization. They were wrong to
reject production for profit, wrong to think that state planners could replicate
the complex pricing decisions of markets, and wrong in trying to organize an
economy not linked by markets. Not all Socialist traditions made these mistakes,
but the blueprint mentality was deeply ingrained in virtually all of them.
From a democratic perspective, the key problem with the mutual fund model is
that it weakens workers' power at the firm level. To the extent that the holding
companies are granted supervisory control over their client enterprises, worker
control is diminished. To the extent that the holding companies are kept in a
weak position, the advantages of the mutual fund model are traded off as the
enterprises essentially become cooperatives.
I have a theory about how to deal with that problem-it's a circular scheme
modeled on Mondragon's "second degree" cooperatives that upholds the authority
of the holding companies-but more important than any particular theory or model
is the willingness to expand the social market in different ways and find out
which models work best in particular circumstances.
The tradition of Christian
social ethics and progressive theology to which I belong has an ample history on
this subject. The father of the social gospel, Washington Gladden, believed that
profit-sharing industrial partnerships would put an end to the class struggle,
until he lived long enough to see otherwise. The founder of social ethics,
Francis G. Peabody, shared the conviction of most social gospelers that
cooperatives were obviously the progressive Christian solution. The greatest
social gospeler, Walter Rauschenbusch, believed that a combination of state and
cooperative ownership would create a good society. Archbishop of Canterbury
William Temple developed a type of guild socialism featuring a Meidner-like plan
for worker-controlled collective capital funds. Reinhold Niebuhr stood for
radical state Socialism before opting for the welfare state. Many liberationists
and social ethicists have promoted "socialism" without describing what it
is.
Most of this tradition wrongly operated with unitary ideas of capitalism and
socialism, as though each were only one thing, culminating in the liberationist
tendency to condemn "capitalism" categorically while employing "socialism" as a
magic wand. The latter approach is too vague, monolithic, and evasive, but
neither should social justice movements embrace any particular model as the next
sign of the divine commonwealth.
The Better Way: Organic, Pluralistic, Pragmatic,
Voluntary
Economic democracy must be a project built from the ground up, piece by
piece, opening new choices, creating more democracy, building an economic order
that allows for social contracts, common goods, and ecological flourishing.
Economic democracy nurtures and sustains social trust: social capital that no
healthy society can do without. It is a project that breaks from the
universalizing logic of state socialism and takes seriously that there are
different kinds of capitalism. Social theorist Roberto M. Unger calls for
"alternative pluralisms," step-by-step constructions of alternative political
and economic institutions. Abstract concepts of a monolithic "capitalism" or
"market" obscure the variety of possibilities within existing capitalism and
markets. So-called "capitalism" is always the product of particular historical
configurations, contingencies, and struggles.
The tests of any experiment in economic democracy are pragmatic. To impose
something like the Mondragon network on a capitalist society would require
coercion over workers who don't want to belong to cooperatives. The U.S. Pacific
Northwest has a network of longstanding, highly successful plywood cooperatives.
Some plywood workers choose to work in conventional firms instead of the
cooperatives. No political economy worth building would force them into a
different choice.
The issue of choice, however, is the key to a better alternative. A politics
that expanded the cooperative and social ownership sectors would give workers
important new choices. The central conceit of neoclassical economics could be
turned into a reality if meaningful choices were created. The neoclassical
conceit is that capitalism doesn't exploit anyone, because labor employs capital
as much as capital employs labor. But in the real world the owners of capital
nearly always organize the factors of production. To expand the cooperative and
other social market sectors would give choices to workers that neoclassical
theory promises, but does not deliver. It would show that there is an
alternative to a system that stokes and celebrates greed and consumption to the
point of self-destruction.
The earth's ecosystem cannot sustain a U.S.-level lifestyle for more than
one-sixth of the world's population. The economy is physical. There are limits
to economic growth. Global warming is melting the Arctic ice cap at a shocking
pace. It is melting large areas of permafrost in Alaska, Canada, and Siberia,
and destroying wetlands and forests around the world. The manic logic of
corporate capitalism pays little heed to communities and the environment, and
none to equality. Corporate giants like ExxonMobil succeed as businesses and
investments while treating the destructive aspects of their behavior as someone
else's problem.
For thirty years one had to be a stubborn type to sail against the religion
of the market. Now one only needs to be awake. If the stubborn types can seize
this terrible moment as an opportunity to build a better social order, we may
actually do it.
Union alumnus Gary Dorrien is the Reinhold Niebuhr Professor of Social
Ethics at Union Theological Seminary and Professor of Religion at Columbia
University. This lecture was delivered on March 25, 2009, at Union Theological
Seminary in a public forum, "Christianity and the U.S. Crisis," associated with
a class co-taught by Cornel West, Serene Jones, and Gary Dorrien. It is an
abridged version of a chapter in Dorrien's forthcoming book, Social Justice in
Question: Economy, Difference, Empire, and Progressive Christianity (Columbia
University Press, 2010).
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Sweden’s Fix for Banks: Nationalize Them
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/23/business/worldbusiness/23sweden.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1